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Associate Life Survey: Time Machines Running A Little Slow

funny-pictures-cat-comes-out-of-washing-machine-expecting-the-future.jpgWe’ve received about 1,000 responses so far to last Monday’s ATL / Lateral Link survey on bonuses, which is still open here.

On Wednesday, we told you about when bonuses were paid for 2007, and when (and whether) associates expect to receive bonuses in 2008.

Today, we’ll focus on another key component of the bonus equation: your hours.

In the past, we’ve asked you whether work was slowing down, but those surveys didn’t ask you what your billable hours would actually be at the end of the year.

Last week, we decided it was time to ask … and we’re, um, sorry.

Results: How many hours did you (or will you) bill in 2007 (and 2008)?

 Billable Hours   2007     2008 
Less than 1600    3.29%  7.93%
1600 - 1699    2.58%  6%
1700 - 1799    3.99%  5.61%
1800 - 1899    8.45%  7.54%
1900 - 1999    11.5%  16.44%
2000 - 2100    22.54%  21.08%
2100 - 2199    12.68%  14.31%  
2200 - 2299    11.03%  6.77%
2300 - 2399    12.44%    5.42%
2400+    11.5%  8.9%

As you can see, 2007 was a pretty good year for killing time. Roughly 70% of respondents billed at least 2000 hours last year (not counting associates with stub years), with over a third billing at least 2200. And over 11% — almost one in eight associates — were in the 2400+ zone.

This year, the mighty have fallen, and so have their hours. While roughly 56% of associates still expect to hit at least 2000 hours in 2008, the number reaching 2200 is expected to fall from 35% to about 21%.

Meanwhile, the number of associates who won’t even make 1800 hours has roughly doubled, rising from 9.86% to 19.54%. Almost one in twelve associates don’t even expect to make 1600 hours, way up from 3.29% a year ago. (Remember, these numbers exclude stub years.)

See nervous breakdowns by class, by year, and by market, after the jump.

Billable Hours By Class

The slowdown is affecting junior and senior alike, with each class generally expecting to do a bit worse this year than the class before them did in 2007, and also a bit worse than they themselves did last year.

For example, while over 60%  of the Class of 2006 billed at least 2000 hours last year, only about 36%  of the Class of 2007 expect to follow in their footsteps this year. And even though almost 60%  of the Class of 2006 do still expect to hit at least 2000 hours again this year, the number expecting to break 2200 has fallen by almost half.

  Billable Hours   2007  2006  2005  2004  2003  2002  2001  More
 Senior 
 Less than 1600      
 2007 hours 
 2008 hours 
 
  -
 16.48% 

 4.39% 
 5.26% 

 3.57% 
 8.04% 

 3.9% 
 3.9% 

 3.03% 
 12.12% 

 0% 
 9.68% 

 5.26% 
 5.26% 

 0% 
 0% 
1600 - 1699      
 2007 hours 
 2008 hours 
 
  -
 7.69% 

 4.39% 
 9.65% 

 2.68% 
 1.79% 

 0% 
 7.79% 

 3.03% 
 0% 

 3.23% 
 9.68% 

 0% 
 0% 

 2.44% 
 4.88% 
1700 - 1799      
 2007 hours 
 2008 hours 
 
  -
 9.89% 

 4.39% 
 4.39% 

 2.68% 
 3.57% 

 5.19% 
 5.19% 

 9.09% 
 3.03% 

 6.45% 
 3.23% 

 0% 
 0% 

 0% 
 12.2% 
1800 - 1899      
 2007 hours 
 2008 hours 
 
  -
 9.89% 

 8.77% 
 7.89% 

 9.82% 
 8.04% 

 3.9% 
 9.09% 

 3.03% 
 0% 

 16.13% 
 9.68% 

 10.53% 
 5.26% 

 9.76% 
 2.44% 
1900 - 1999      
 2007 hours 
 2008 hours 
 
  -
 19.78% 

 13.16% 
 13.16% 

 8.04% 
 14.29% 

 20.78% 
 24.68% 

 6.06% 
 9.09% 

 3.23% 
 12.9% 

 0% 
 15.79% 

 14.63% 
 17.07% 
2000 - 2100      
 2007 hours 
 2008 hours 
 
  -
 18.68% 

 19.3% 
 25.44% 

 21.43% 
 21.43% 

 22.08% 
 12.99% 

 27.27% 
 24.24% 

 19.35% 
 6.45% 

 47.37% 
 36.84% 

 21.95% 
 29.27% 
2100 - 2199      
 2007 hours 
 2008 hours 
 
  -
 8.79% 

 13.16% 
 15.79% 

 16.07% 
 16.07% 

 15.58% 
 12.99% 

 9.09% 
 24.24% 

 6.45% 
 19.35% 

 0% 
 15.79% 

 9.76% 
 7.32% 
2200 - 2299      
 2007 hours 
 2008 hours 
 
  -
 5.49% 

 11.4% 
 5.26% 

 10.71% 
 10.71% 

 10.39% 
 3.9% 

 12.12% 
 15.15% 

 9.68% 
 3.23% 

 10.53% 
 5.26% 

 12.2% 
 4.88% 
2300 - 2399      
 2007 hours 
 2008 hours 
 
  -
 0% 

 11.4% 
 5.26% 

 11.61% 
 6.25% 

 7.79% 
 6.49% 

 15.15% 
 3.03% 

 25.81% 
 12.9% 

 15.79% 
 10.53% 

 12.2% 
 7.32% 
2400+      
 2007 hours 
 2008 hours 
 
  -
 3.3% 

 8.77% 
 7.02% 

 13.39% 
 9.82% 

 10.39% 
 12.99% 

 12.12% 
 9.09% 

 9.68% 
 12.9% 

 10.53% 
 5.26% 

 17.07% 
 14.63% 

Billable Hours By Practice

Remember back when we asked you whether the woes of Lehman Brothers and Merrill Lynch would hurt your career, and we got responses like “Litigation!” and “I’m in litigation!!” and “Litigator baby”?

Well, some of those responses might have been a little premature.

While litigators are definitely holding up better than their transactional peers, the number who expect to bill over 2200 hours is actually still down significantly, from about 40%  last year to around 30%  this year. Meanwhile, less than half of corporate practitioners expect to break the 2000-hour mark at all this year.

And although there’s an interesting argument that iffy structured finance transactions, not bad real estate deals, are to blame for the current economic malaise, real estate associates are still feeling some serious punishment, with only a quarter of respondents expecting to make 2000 hours this year, and about 43%  expecting to fall shy of 1800. (There weren’t enough structured finance associates left participating in the survey to give a fair sense of how they’re doing … but you can probably guess.)

Not a bad day to be a bankruptcy or patent lawyer, though.

 Billable Hours  Bankruptcy  Corporate  Employment  Litigation  Patent  Real Estate  Tax 
 Less than 1600    
 2007 hours 
 2008 hours 

 25% 
 5.88% 

 2.91% 
 16.54% 

 0% 
 0% 

 2.96% 
 2.55% 

 0% 
 2.63% 

 0% 
 8.7% 

 6.25% 
 4.35% 
1600 - 1699    
 2007 hours 
 2008 hours 

 0% 
 0% 

 2.91% 
 9.02% 

 0% 
 7.14% 

 2.37% 
 4.59% 

 2.86% 
 2.63% 

 6.25% 
 13.04% 

 6.25% 
 0% 
1700 - 1799    
 2007 hours 
 2008 hours 

 0% 
 5.88% 

 4.85% 
 6.77% 

 7.14% 
 0% 

 2.37% 
 2.04% 

 8.57% 
 5.26% 

 12.5% 
 21.74% 

 0% 
 4.35% 
1800 - 1899    
 2007 hours 
 2008 hours 

 8.33% 
 0% 

 13.59% 
 11.28% 

 14.29% 
 7.14% 

 4.14% 
 3.57% 

 11.43% 
 5.26% 

 0% 
 17.39% 

 18.75% 
 13.04% 
1900 - 1999    
 2007 hours 
 2008 hours 

 16.67% 
 11.76% 

 4.85% 
 15.79% 

 14.29% 
 21.43% 

 10.65% 
 16.33% 

 8.57% 
 13.16% 

 25% 
 13.04% 

 12.5% 
 13.04% 
2000 - 2100    
 2007 hours 
 2008 hours 

 25% 
 35.29% 

 15.53% 
 17.29% 

 35.71% 
 21.43% 

 22.49% 
 25% 

 31.43% 
 15.79% 

 25% 
 17.39% 

 37.5% 
 39.13% 
2100 - 2199    
 2007 hours 
 2008 hours 

 8.33% 
 11.76% 

 14.56% 
 11.28% 

 7.14% 
 35.71% 

 14.2% 
 15.31% 

 8.57% 
 23.68% 

 6.25% 
 8.7% 

 0% 
 13.04% 
2200 - 2299    
 2007 hours 
 2008 hours 

 0% 
 5.88% 

 5.83% 
 2.26% 

 14.29% 
 0% 

 13.02% 
 10.2% 

 20% 
 15.79% 

 18.75% 
 0% 

 0% 
 0% 
2300 - 2399    
 2007 hours 
 2008 hours 

 8.33% 
 0% 

 16.5% 
 1.5% 

 7.14% 
 7.14% 

 14.2% 
 8.67% 

 2.86% 
 5.26% 

 0% 
 0% 

 12.5% 
 8.7% 
2400+    
 2007 hours 
 2008 hours 

 8.33% 
 23.53% 

 18.45% 
 8.27% 

 0% 
 0% 

 13.02% 
 11.22% 

 5.71% 
 10.53% 

 6.25% 
 0% 

 6.25% 
 4.35% 

Billable Hours By Market

It looks like things are hurting all over.

 Billable Hours  Bay Area  Boston  Chicago  DC  LA  NY Texas
 Less than 1600    
 2007 hours 
 2008 hours 

 0% 
 11.11% 

 0% 
 0% 

 2.78% 
 0% 

 4.41% 
 1.18% 

 5.88% 
 0% 

 4.49% 
 14.35% 

 0% 
 0% 
1600 - 1699    
 2007 hours 
 2008 hours 

 3.03% 
 8.33% 

 0% 
 0% 

 0% 
 0% 

 0% 
 3.53% 

 0% 
 4.76% 

 3.93% 
 6.28% 

 4.76% 
 16.67% 
1700 - 1799    
 2007 hours 
 2008 hours 

 0% 
 2.78% 

 5.26% 
 13.64% 

 5.56% 
 8.89% 

 2.94% 
 1.18% 

 0% 
 4.76% 

 5.62% 
 6.73% 

 0% 
 0% 
1800 - 1899    
 2007 hours 
 2008 hours 

 12.12% 
 2.78% 

 10.53% 
 4.55% 

 5.56% 
 8.89% 

 10.29% 
 8.24% 

 0% 
 4.76% 

 6.18% 
 7.17% 

 4.76% 
 4.17% 
1900 - 1999    
 2007 hours 
 2008 hours 

 15.15% 
 16.67% 

 21.05% 
 27.27% 

 5.56% 
 13.33% 

 8.82% 
 17.65% 

 11.76% 
 14.29% 

 11.24% 
 15.25% 

 14.29% 
 20.83% 
2000 - 2100    
 2007 hours 
 2008 hours 

 21.21% 
 25% 

 31.58% 
 27.27% 

 27.78% 
 22.22% 

 30.88% 
 27.06% 

 35.29% 
 23.81% 

 15.73% 
 19.73% 

 23.81% 
 20.83% 
2100 - 2199    
 2007 hours 
 2008 hours 

 12.12% 
 19.44% 

 0% 
 13.64% 

 11.11% 
 13.33% 

 10.29% 
 16.47% 

 17.65% 
 23.81% 

 13.48% 
 10.31% 

 23.81% 
 12.5% 
2200 - 2299    
 2007 hours 
 2008 hours 

 18.18% 
 2.78% 

 5.26% 
 0% 

 13.89% 
 8.89% 

 10.29% 
 10.59% 

 11.76% 
 9.52% 

 11.8% 
 5.83% 

 4.76% 
 4.17% 
2300 - 2399    
 2007 hours 
 2008 hours 

 9.09% 
 2.78% 

 15.79% 
 4.55% 

 13.89% 
 8.89% 

 11.76% 
 7.06% 

 11.76% 
 4.76% 

 14.61% 
 4.48% 

 9.52% 
 12.5% 
2400+    
 2007 hours 
 2008 hours 

 9.09% 
 8.33% 

 10.53% 
 9.09% 

 13.89% 
 15.56% 

 10.29% 
 7.06% 

 5.88% 
 9.52% 

 12.36% 
 9.42% 

 14.29% 
 8.33% 

The numbers above may be daunting for most, but just how much will they dampen our expectations for bonuses?

Stay tuned for more results.


Justin Bernold is a Director at Lateral Link, the sponsor of this Associate Life Survey.

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