Predictions: Beat the ATL Editors

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As some of you might have heard, there is an election happening tomorrow; a Presidential one, so we’ve been told.

Ever since Bush v. Gore, elections have become a potential legal matter as much as anything. Tomorrow, we’ll be bringing you updates on the various electoral shenanigans as they happen. Check out some of the latest opportunities for post-election litigation at Rick Hasen’s Election Law Blog.

If it is close, we could end up in court for weeks. Georgetown University Law Center has already contemplated the disaster.

But, during this brief calm before the biggest gambling event of the fall, we offer you a little game: Beat the ATL Editors, Election Edition. Win the (anonymous) respect of your peers by out predicting the ATL brain trust.

There are polling numbers that indicate that as many as 11 states are “in play” heading into Tuesday: PA, VA, NC, FL, OH, IN, MO, ND, MT, CO, and NV.

Vegas has set the over-under at 325 Electoral Votes for Barack Obama.

Off of that line, I’m taking the under.

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I’ve got Obama coming out of this with 324 EVs. Of the 11 in play, I see Obama picking up: PA, VA, FL, IN, and CO.

I’ll believe that the Bradley-effect doesn’t exist the minute it stops existing. Obama dropped ten points in a day in the New Hampshire primary. Why? Because Hillary cried and “found her voice?” Sure. “Call me” when Harold Ford Jr. wins that Senate race in Tennessee.

Kash and Lat weigh in after the jump.


Kash comes up with a sure-to-be-litigated 284 EVs for Obama:

Kash is not a lawyer, barely a journalist, and definitely not a political pundit. But here’s her completely unscientific prediction for the battleground states. She should mention that she is a believer in the Lisa Simpson brand of sports prediction, of choosing the team whose mascot could beat up the other team’s mascot.

Pennsylvania– John Kerry’s ordering Swiss cheese on his philly cheesesteak in ’04 will likely sour Pennsylvanians on the Democrats (and lawyers) for many elections to come. PA goes to McCain.

Nevada– Strip club lawsuits and Judge Halverson’s hijinks have created a fascination with the legal world in Nevada. A lawyer candidate may reap the benefits of this. Nevada in Obama’s corner.

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She sees Florida and Ohio staying in the McCain column, but thinks Obama will hold on in Virginia and Indiana.

David Lat comes out strong, taking the over at 338 Obama EVs. Lat’s map looks just like George Will’s. He gives PA, VA, FL, and OH all to Obama. He does thinks Obama is tilting at windmills in the land of Hoosiers though.

Anybody think McCain can actually pull this one out?

We’ll be keeping an eye out for dirty tricks tomorrow. In the meantime, regardless of political affiliation, don’t forget to vote.

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