Floyd Abrams, Standard & Poor’s, and the First Amendment Defense of Rating Agencies
Could the credit rating agencies who are now being sued for their alleged role in the financial meltdown have a valid First Amendment defense? Floyd Abrams, god of First Amendment law and longtime partner at Cahill Gordon & Reindel, thinks so.
Abrams is the subject of a lengthy, interesting article in Sunday’s New York Times, focused on his representation of Standard & Poor’s, the biggest of the rating agencies. From the NYT:
Dozens of investors have filed lawsuits seeking redress from the rating agencies, contending that the companies bear responsibility for investors’ losses, under a Whitman’s sampler of theories. The recession, in other words, is about to begin its litigation phase, and Mr. Abrams and a handful of partners at the law firm of Cahill Gordon & Reindel are readying defenses for more than 30 suits filed against S.& P. Up first, an oral argument on a motion to dismiss one case is set for July 31….Mr. Abrams will contend that S.& P.’s ratings deserve exactly the sort of free-speech protections afforded to journalists, on the theory that a bond rating is like an editorial — an opinion based on an educated guess about the future. And for the same reason you can’t sue editorial writers, Mr. Abrams will argue that you can’t sue a bond rater because the economy went into a free fall that few saw coming.
Is this a valid comparison? Is trying to sue a ratings agency like trying to sue a newspaper editorial board? Or the weatherman?
Read more, and debate the issue, after the jump.
One possible response to the First Amendment defense:
The First Amendment is no defense against fraud, and that is what is alleged by many of the plaintiffs. Against them, Mr. Abrams will argue that S.& P. was every bit as blindsided as nearly everyone else in the private sector and in the regulatory sphere.
Abrams doesn’t just want to win in court; he also wants to win in the court of public opinion:
“Look, for the client’s interest, I very much hope that we can get rid of these litigations on motions for dismissal,” he says. “But from a personal point of view, I look forward to the chance to defend them against those charges in court. If we have a real trial, people would say terrible things about them and I would be very happy to show that those things aren’t so.”It takes a moment to realize what Mr. Abrams is saying here: he doesn’t simply want to defend the ratings of S.& P. He wants to rehabilitate their reputation. The word “quixotic” doesn’t seem to capture how quixotic this sounds.
S&P just wants to be loved. Is that so wrong?
Sitting behind a huge desk in a corner office, dressed in a light blue Oxford shirt and a blue tie, [Abrams] seems most comfortable discussing the finer points of law. Even now, in the senior-discount stage of his life, he gives the impression of a man fit enough to put you in a headlock, though he also seems too well mannered for fisticuffs. He answers questions deliberately, like one accustomed to having his words read back in a transcript. As he speaks, he slowly moves his coffee cup from a spot on his desk to a perch on a small stack of Post-it notes, then back to his desk, then back to the Post-its, over and over.
He sounds a bit OCD to us. Of course, many great lawyers are.
[M]edia cases have made him the only First Amendment lawyer whom anyone outside the legal field can name. (He is representing a New York Times reporter who was called before a grand jury, but he’s no longer the paper’s go-to counsel, he says, because his price is too high.)
This may not be surprising, given that the Times doesn’t have a lot of extra cash to be throwing around these days. Still, we’d be curious to know what Floyd’s hourly rate is. Is he a member of the Thousand-Dollar Bar?
Abrams certainly has the experience to justify a stratospheric billing rate. As the Times article notes, he made his name in the celebrated Pentagon Papers case, which went all the way up to the Supreme Court. In the years since, he has been involved in many other landmark litigations in the First Amendment / free speech area — e.g., representing the Brooklyn Museum when Mayor Rudy Giuliani went after them over the elephant poo painting.
Will his work for S&P further burnish his reputation? Or is it a misstep for Abrams to represent S&P — and in such an aggressive manner? The ratings agencies aren’t super-sympathetic:
Like its competitors, S.& P. is paid by the issuers of the bonds it assesses, setting up what appears to be a rather spectacular conflict of interest — like a teacher appraising the work of the students who pay his salary. To detractors, that apparent conflict explains why so many bonds that were later all but worthless were stamped triple-A. It might also explain the now-infamous back and forth of instant messages between two S.& P. analysts, one of whom says the firm’s risk assessment model hasn’t captured half the risk of a particular deal.“It could be structured by cows,” the analyst wrote, “and we’d rate it.”
That IM exchange is certainly unfortunate. But with respect to teachers grading students who pay their (teachers’) salaries, doesn’t that happen all the time? Teachers in my high school graded the work of students who paid their salaries (or whose parents paid their salaries) all the time; it was no big deal.
“I don’t think [the First Amendment defense of rating agencies is] a good legal argument, though there might be some courts that buy it,” says John C. Coffee, a law professor at Columbia. “I don’t think that a rating is the same as an editorial, because The New York Times’s editorial page isn’t paid for by a sponsor. The direct, commercial relationship of the issuer of the bond and the rating agency puts it into the field of commercial speech.”Generally, commercial speech isn’t accorded the same high level of protections given to journalists. There are potential legal repercussions, for instance, when a doctor gives a medical opinion that turns out to be wrong, says Rodney A. Smolla, dean of the Washington and Lee University School of Law.
“There’s no question that the rating agencies are entitled to some level of First Amendment protection,” he says. “What’s harder to figure out is what degree of regulation we can impose on the companies. There are millions who rely on the objectivity of those ratings, and if you could prove that those ratings were corrupted by a bribe or tainted by a clear conflict of interest, my view is that those protections would be reduced or eliminated entirely.”
This reminds us of the Wall Street research analysts scandal, investigated by Eliot Spitzer back when he was New York attorney general. Wall Street banks were forced to pay up after conflicts of interest were discovered arising out of overly cozy relationships between research and investment banking.
But there may be an important difference. The research analysts often knew that what they were praising was crap; here, S&P claims that its analysts genuinely believed in their recommendations:
Mr. Abrams maintains that the law protects S.& P. and its judgments about the future as long as analysts at the company truly believe the ratings they come up with. “Even if those ratings are wrong, or the company did a lousy job, you can’t bring a lawsuit against someone for offering forward-looking predictions,” he says.He returns to the editorial-writer analogy, though he has others. You can’t sue economists, he says, or meteorologists.
But there are some differences between a weather forecaster and an S.& P. analyst, and lawyers for the plaintiffs in these cases are sure to point them out. There is little chance that a meteorologist has a financial stake in saying, “It’s going to be sunny.” The rating agencies, on the other hand, essentially get paid by the people who need a prediction of clear skies, and the customers can always ask a different forecaster if they don’t hear what they like.
So, readers, what do you think? Is going after a ratings agency that made a bad prediction like suing an errant economist or a weatherman? Or is it like suing a negligent physician? Or is it like pursuing Wall Street research analysts whose work was tainted by conflicts of interest?
Your views are welcome, in the comments.
A Matter of Opinion? [New York Times]




Comments
Comments hidden for your protection. Show them anyway!
Amendment First!
1 - Very clever, son.
It all turns on the relationship between S&P and the people who read / rely on its ratings.
Lat, so good to have you writing more. And a 2:58 am post? Damn. Are you trying to impress someone?
4 - I'm impressed.
Abrams certainly has an interesting analogy on this. However, if that's all he has, he will have an uphill battle convincing the jury on this. The main difference between the S&P ratings and a newspaper editorial or weather forecasts is that the S&P is 1) paid by the companies they are rating and 2) they know their ratings are being relied upon by investors and others. Given 1 & 2, it's clearly a huge conflict of interest. Abrams would have a very difficult time convincing anyone that 2 is not the case.
How is he going to rehabilitate S&P's image? The argument appears to be that S&P didn't know squat about its business.
S&P, Moody's, et al, speech incites action.
this is really incredible...every time a ratings agency rates an instrument, an insurer decides to insure it b/c the entity issuing it usu has terrible "creditworthiness" ...so many decision are made to thrust a crap security onto the open market based on the rating. i know investors are looking to "peg" the downfall of the economy on one actor, but it was the entire machine working together that wreaked havoc. I don't think one entity can be held responsible.
Rehabilitating the S&P. In today's society, that's sort of like rehabilitating the Visigoths.
How delightful.
Good post, Lat.
Great post, Lat. While this is a very interesting argument, it will have a much better chance for summary judgment. As long as the plaintiffs adequately alleged fraud, a motion to dismiss on 1st A grounds has little to no chance of winning.
Number 6 nailed it. This is paid commercial speech with a far lower degree of 1st A protection.
ATL made the WSJ this morning (Marketplace, "Leaks Grow in World of Blogs") http://online.wsj.com/article/SB124804984009563929.html
http://www.cnbc.com/id/15840232?video=1145392808&play=1
Watch this.
Finally, an interesting post. Nice Lat.
At first blush, it seems appropriate to cast blame on the rating agencies, and hold them accountable for their seemingly reckless disregard for the systemic risks that they helped create. Certainly any evidence of fraud or intentional misrepresentation should not go unpunished.
But what about the investors? Are they not at least partially to blame for their own shortcomings? Blindly swallowing up whatever letter the rating agencies affix to a product, without conducting the necessary due diligence, seems a bit reckless as well.
Granted, proper due diligence would only have led to a series of convoluted equations based on Gaussian models, which could only be understood by the physicist-turned-quant-economists that created them. However, it might have raised enough flags to give pause. Easier said than done I suppose, but it seems to me that the outcome of this litigation will turn on this basic question of joint culpability.
Why does conflict automatically equal guilt? As discussed, doctors face the same issue, as they are paid by their patients and know their opinions will be relied upon. The question seems to be the adequacy of the standards used to determine these ratings, and that might require a case-by-case analysis.
And when is someone going to blame the government for restricting the rating agency market by protecting the oligopoly as it currently exists, or for legally requiring firms to consider their ratings?
The failure to properly rate the mortgage backed securities was perhaps the biggest single cause of the financial meltdown. However, I think the liability of S&P and others will be limited to the contractual liability they have with the bond companies that paid for their services.
The people who work in the rating agencies are the dregs of the financial world- those that couldn't give up on a dream of working "on Wall Street" but also couldn't get a job at ML of GS. They lack either the courage or ability, or both, to rate accurately.
The current issues facing the rating agencies are the same that they faced with Long Term Capital Management in the 90's and Enron more recently. Again and again, they are willing to rate products they do not fully understand. As long as the share price continues to rise all is rosy and they look like they know what they are doing but once the market finds out that the shiny apple was in fact completely rotten inside, the share price collapses and S&P et al are left red-faced, with their pants around their ankles, hoping that no one notices. That said, the market needs rating agencies so my guess is that nothing will change.
Im impressed too.
Many people (myself included, along with several popular bloggers) were calling out the housing bubble and associated unsustainable lending practices loud and clear back in 2004 or even earlier.
The ratings agencies KNEW they were helping to sell packages of loans that the borrowers simply did not have the money to repay, that the entire model was built on housing prices continue to rise at double digit percentages every year, which any moron can tell you is impossible (other than a Realtor, who is sworn to tell you that this was normal and will resume shortly).
But S&P also knew that their rating was the ticket for the banks to sell those loans in the secondary market, and profited very handsomely for selling that precious rating. They should, normatively, be destroyed and bankrupted by this, as their predictive value has been shown to be no better than a monkey throwing darts at a board. Sh-t, the monkey could have called out the problem long before these corrupt pieces of crap admitted anything was wrong.
Actually, 7 nailed it. If the 1st Amendment argument flies, that will NOT rehab S&P in the public eye, it'll only look like the slick lawyer trick that it is, AND it'll seem like they didn't know jack about what their own ratings meant.
Cahill's NYC offices are disgusting. Embarrassing for such a highly regarded firm.
Skadden Secure
ps; You are all idiots.
"Teachers in my high school graded the work of students who paid their salaries (or whose parents paid their salaries) all the time; it was no big deal."
180
Dear God,
Please let this litigation proceed and the flood of lawsuits begin. You know we could use the work.
Your biggest fan,
Not-yet-fired litigation associate
25- my thoughts exactly
I rented a movie a couple of weeks ago called Nothing But The Truth, which is loosely based on the Judy Miller/Valerie Plame saga. I didn't pay close attention to the opening credits, so I missed the name of (and didn't immediately recognize) the actor playing the federal district judge. His delivery and demeanor were so spot-on, though, that my wife (also a lawyer) and I turned to each other and said "that guy must be an attorney." Sure enough, it was Floyd Abrams.
Now, Abrams obviously had special insight on the role, but even so he gets kudos from me for delivering a rare, accurate portrayal of a federal judge. Not only did he avoid the histrionics typical of Hollywood judges (banging gavel, etc.), he added some touches that were so genuine that I have to assume they were ad libbed. In one scene, for example, the 1st amendment lawyer (played by Alan Alda) arrives late to a meeting with the prosecutor (Matt Dillon) and Judge Abrams. Judge and prosecutor are talking as Alda walks in, so Abrams begins the meeting by assuring him that he and the prosecutor had been discussing soccer, not law, before he arrived. The judge I clerked for would have said the exact same thing.
I've been waiting for ATL's review. Maybe they can get a comment from Judge Abrams himself?
Excellent post.
I've put a blog post on the topic here:
http://www.concurringopinions.com/archives/2009/07/rating-agencies-privilege-without-responsibility.html
My bottom line: as long as the US government provides a de facto regulatory subsidy to CRA’s, it should require them to factor into at least some of their ratings the full social value of the rated entity—not simply its likelihood to default. Ratings are often a self-fulfilling prophecy, and the state should harness their value to promote projects that improve the health, safety, security, and well-being of citizens. At the very least, the government should set up a “public option” in credit rating (akin to the proposed public option in health insurance) that is more transparent and accountable than extant credit raters. If the finance sector is going to grow as dependent on government help as the health care sector has, it should learn to accept the same web of standards and regulation that guarantee some minimal accountability for providers who accept government funds. Looking at the AHRQ and comparative effectiveness research could be a good place to start.
#23 - Are you really Skadden secure? Secure people usually don't state it again and again and again, and always after a scathing barb at some firm.
BTW, I admire Abrams tremendously, but he's not the only major player at Cahill. Most all of their attorneys are super sharp.
This is bull shit; this is rating agencies's "right of free speech" about as much as someone's right to make porn --- it's all about making money! There's a good argument that making porn probably is more legitimate and pure than these swindlers assigning ratings
31
Are you suggesting that S&P isn't entitled to zealous representation within the bounds of the law?