FantasySCOTUS: McDonald v. Chicago (Chicago Handgun Ban Case)

Ed. note: ATL has teamed up with the 10th Justice to predict how the Supreme Court may decide upcoming cases. CNN has called FantasySCOTUS the “hottest new fantasy-league game.”
One of the most anticipated cases before the Supreme Court this term is McDonald v. Chicago. McDonald considers whether Chicago’s handgun ban violates the Second Amendment. While District of Columbia v. Heller established that the Second Amendment protects the right to keep and bear arms from infringement by the federal government, McDonald changes the target to the states.
McDonald pits the right to keep and bear arms against the rights of the states to enact gun control laws. Which argument has more firepower?


Out of 78 predictions at FantasySCOTUS, 38% predict that the Supreme Court will affirm the 7th Circuit decision and uphold Chicago’s handgun ban, while 62% predict that the Court will reverse the decision and strike down the ban.

Of the 48 FantasySCOTUS players who predicted a reversal, 35 predicted a 5-4 split (73%). Of the 35 who predicted an affirmation of the lower court, 20 predicted a 5-4 split (58%). Thus, the case is almost assuredly to be split along 5-4 lines. But how will Justice Kennedy vote?
Read on at the 10th Justice.

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